Week 5

2026 · Week 5 · Kickoff times ET

These games are final. See how the model did across the season in the archive.

Final · Oct 1Missed

Team	Fair moneyline	Win	Final
Western Kentucky	−153	60%	13
New Mexico State	+153	40%	34

Spread: Western Kentucky −4.5
Proj. margin: Western Kentucky by 4.4

Off by25.4 pts

Final · Oct 1Correct pick

Team	Fair moneyline	Win	Final
North Texas	−449	82%	45
Tulsa	+449	18%	44

Spread: North Texas −15
Proj. margin: North Texas by 15.2

Off by14.2 pts

Final · Oct 2Correct pick

Team	Fair moneyline	Win	Final
Pittsburgh	−244	71%	35
Virginia Tech	+244	29%	33

Spread: Pittsburgh −9
Proj. margin: Pittsburgh by 9.2

Off by7.2 pts

Final · Oct 2Missed

Team	Fair moneyline	Win	Final
Liberty	+105	49%	30
Delaware	−105	51%	14

Spread: Delaware −0.5
Proj. margin: Delaware by 0.6

Off by16.6 pts

Final · Oct 2Missed

Team	Fair moneyline	Win	Final
Penn State	−121	55%	13
Northwestern	+121	45%	34

Spread: Penn State −2
Proj. margin: Penn State by 2.0

Off by23.0 pts

Final · Oct 3Correct pick

Team	Fair moneyline	Win	Final
Memphis	−1099	92%	59
Charlotte	+1099	8%	8

Spread: Memphis −23
Proj. margin: Memphis by 23.1

Off by27.9 pts

Final · Oct 3Correct pick

Team	Fair moneyline	Win	Final
Alabama	−273	73%	56
Mississippi State	+273	27%	23

Spread: Alabama −10.5
Proj. margin: Alabama by 10.4

Off by22.6 pts

Final · Oct 3Correct pick

Team	Fair moneyline	Win	Final
Middle Tennessee	+757	12%	0
Kansas	−757	88%	55

Spread: Kansas −20
Proj. margin: Kansas by 19.9

Off by35.1 pts

Final · Oct 3Correct pick

Team	Fair moneyline	Win	Final
UCF	+342	23%	17
Houston	−342	77%	27

Spread: Houston −12.5
Proj. margin: Houston by 12.6

Off by2.6 pts

Final · Oct 3Correct pick

Team	Fair moneyline	Win	Final
West Virginia	+377	21%	42
Iowa State	−377	79%	45

Spread: Iowa State −13.5
Proj. margin: Iowa State by 13.5

Off by10.5 pts

Final · Oct 3Correct pick

Team	Fair moneyline	Win	Final
Boston College	+1338	7%	16
SMU	−1338	93%	25

Spread: SMU −25
Proj. margin: SMU by 24.8

Off by15.8 pts

Final · Oct 3Correct pick

Team	Fair moneyline	Win	Final
Notre Dame	−5598	98%	37
North Carolina	+5598	2%	26

Spread: Notre Dame −35.5
Proj. margin: Notre Dame by 35.3

Off by24.3 pts

Final · Oct 3Correct pick

Team	Fair moneyline	Win	Final
Stanford	+518	16%	3
Wake Forest	−518	84%	57

Spread: Wake Forest −16.5
Proj. margin: Wake Forest by 16.5

Off by37.5 pts

Final · Oct 3Missed

Team	Fair moneyline	Win	Final
Syracuse	+168	37%	42
UConn	−168	63%	41

Spread: UConn −5.5
Proj. margin: UConn by 5.4

Off by6.4 pts

Final · Oct 3Missed

Team	Fair moneyline	Win	Final
Michigan	−386	79%	14
Minnesota	+386	21%	20

Spread: Michigan −13.5
Proj. margin: Michigan by 13.7

Off by19.7 pts

Final · Oct 3Correct pick

Team	Fair moneyline	Win	Final
Navy	+151	40%	9
Air Force	−151	60%	14

Spread: Air Force −4.5
Proj. margin: Air Force by 4.3

Off by0.7 pts

Final · Oct 3Correct pick

Team	Fair moneyline	Win	Final
Michigan State	+197	34%	3
Wisconsin	−197	66%	31

Spread: Wisconsin −7
Proj. margin: Wisconsin by 7.1

Off by20.9 pts

Final · Oct 3Correct pick

Team	Fair moneyline	Win	Final
Vanderbilt	+413	19%	14
Georgia	−413	81%	38

Spread: Georgia −14.5
Proj. margin: Georgia by 14.4

Off by9.6 pts

Final · Oct 3Correct pick

Team	Fair moneyline	Win	Final
Western Michigan	−777	89%	20
Buffalo	+777	11%	17

Spread: Western Michigan −20
Proj. margin: Western Michigan by 20.2

Off by17.2 pts

Final · Oct 3Correct pick

Team	Fair moneyline	Win	Final
Toledo	−1304	93%	39
Ball State	+1304	7%	24

Spread: Toledo −24.5
Proj. margin: Toledo by 24.5

Off by9.5 pts

Final · Oct 3Missed

Team	Fair moneyline	Win	Final
Florida	−166	62%	17
Missouri	+166	38%	45

Spread: Florida −5.5
Proj. margin: Florida by 5.3

Off by33.3 pts

Final · Oct 3Correct pick

Team	Fair moneyline	Win	Final
Auburn	+250	29%	14
Tennessee	−250	71%	24

Spread: Tennessee −9.5
Proj. margin: Tennessee by 9.5

Off by0.5 pts

Final · Oct 3Correct pick

Team	Fair moneyline	Win	Final
California	+229	30%	31
UNLV	−229	70%	39

Spread: UNLV −8.5
Proj. margin: UNLV by 8.6

Off by0.6 pts

Final · Oct 3Correct pick

Team	Fair moneyline	Win	Final
Louisville	+106	48%	28
NC State	−106	52%	31

Spread: NC State −0.5
Proj. margin: NC State by 0.6

Off by2.4 pts

Final · Oct 3Correct pick

Team	Fair moneyline	Win	Final
Virginia	+107	48%	7
Florida State	−107	52%	38

Spread: Florida State −0.5
Proj. margin: Florida State by 0.7

Off by30.3 pts

Final · Oct 3Correct pick

Team	Fair moneyline	Win	Final
Ohio State	−327	77%	31
Iowa	+327	23%	14

Spread: Ohio State −12
Proj. margin: Ohio State by 12.1

Off by4.9 pts

Final · Oct 3Correct pick

Team	Fair moneyline	Win	Final
Samford	+956	9%	14
UAB	−956	91%	33

Spread: UAB −22
Proj. margin: UAB by 22.0

Off by3.0 pts

Final · Oct 3Correct pick

Team	Fair moneyline	Win	Final
Wyoming	+2520	4%	0
North Dakota State	−2520	96%	28

Spread: North Dakota State −29.5
Proj. margin: North Dakota State by 29.7

Off by1.7 pts

Final · Oct 3Correct pick

Team	Fair moneyline	Win	Final
Akron	+301	25%	17
Central Michigan	−301	75%	41

Spread: Central Michigan −11.5
Proj. margin: Central Michigan by 11.3

Off by12.7 pts

Final · Oct 3Missed

Team	Fair moneyline	Win	Final
Eastern Michigan	+180	36%	38
Massachusetts	−180	64%	14

Spread: Massachusetts −6
Proj. margin: Massachusetts by 6.1

Off by30.1 pts

Final · Oct 3Correct pick

Team	Fair moneyline	Win	Final
Ohio	−247	71%	13
Kent State	+247	29%	10

Spread: Ohio −9.5
Proj. margin: Ohio by 9.3

Off by6.3 pts

Final · Oct 3Missed

Team	Fair moneyline	Win	Final
Bowling Green	+602	14%	24
Miami (OH)	−602	86%	20

Spread: Miami (OH) −18
Proj. margin: Miami (OH) by 17.9

Off by21.9 pts

Final · Oct 3Missed

Team	Fair moneyline	Win	Final
Old Dominion	−115	54%	10
Georgia State	+115	46%	42

Spread: Old Dominion −1.5
Proj. margin: Old Dominion by 1.5

Off by33.5 pts

Final · Oct 3Correct pick

Team	Fair moneyline	Win	Final
Marshall	+1403	7%	17
James Madison	−1403	93%	45

Spread: James Madison −25
Proj. margin: James Madison by 25.1

Off by2.9 pts

Final · Oct 3Correct pick

Team	Fair moneyline	Win	Final
Maryland	+1492	6%	23
Nebraska	−1492	94%	48

Spread: Nebraska −25.5
Proj. margin: Nebraska by 25.6

Off by0.6 pts

Final · Oct 3Correct pick

Team	Fair moneyline	Win	Final
UTEP	+2995	3%	7
New Mexico	−2995	97%	61

Spread: New Mexico −31
Proj. margin: New Mexico by 30.9

Off by23.1 pts

Final · Oct 3Correct pick

Team	Fair moneyline	Win	Final
Kentucky	−135	57%	35
South Carolina	+135	43%	34

Spread: Kentucky −3
Proj. margin: Kentucky by 3.1

Off by2.1 pts

Final · Oct 3Missed

Team	Fair moneyline	Win	Final
Purdue	+590	14%	24
Illinois	−590	86%	17

Spread: Illinois −17.5
Proj. margin: Illinois by 17.7

Off by24.7 pts

Final · Oct 3Correct pick

Team	Fair moneyline	Win	Final
Oregon State	−194	66%	56
Colorado State	+194	34%	26

Spread: Oregon State −7
Proj. margin: Oregon State by 6.9

Off by23.1 pts

Final · Oct 3Correct pick

Team	Fair moneyline	Win	Final
Texas Southern	+2389	4%	10
Florida Atlantic	−2389	96%	66

Spread: Florida Atlantic −29.5
Proj. margin: Florida Atlantic by 29.3

Off by26.7 pts

Final · Oct 3Correct pick

Team	Fair moneyline	Win	Final
Arkansas	+785	11%	7
Texas A&M	−785	89%	34

Spread: Texas A&M −20.5
Proj. margin: Texas A&M by 20.3

Off by6.7 pts

Final · Oct 3Correct pick

Team	Fair moneyline	Win	Final
BYU	−180	64%	17
TCU	+180	36%	10

Spread: BYU −6
Proj. margin: BYU by 6.1

Off by0.9 pts

Final · Oct 3Correct pick

Team	Fair moneyline	Win	Final
UTSA	−645	87%	16
Rice	+645	13%	14

Spread: UTSA −18.5
Proj. margin: UTSA by 18.5

Off by16.5 pts

Final · Oct 3Correct pick

Team	Fair moneyline	Win	Final
Georgia Southern	−104	51%	31
Coastal Carolina	+104	49%	24

Spread: Georgia Southern −0.5
Proj. margin: Georgia Southern by 0.5

Off by6.5 pts

Final · Oct 3Correct pick

Team	Fair moneyline	Win	Final
UL Monroe	+887	10%	35
South Alabama	−887	90%	52

Spread: South Alabama −21.5
Proj. margin: South Alabama by 21.3

Off by4.3 pts

Final · Oct 3Correct pick

Team	Fair moneyline	Win	Final
Texas Tech	−1039	91%	29
Colorado	+1039	9%	7

Spread: Texas Tech −22.5
Proj. margin: Texas Tech by 22.7

Off by0.7 pts

Final · Oct 3Correct pick

Team	Fair moneyline	Win	Final
Miami	−1251	93%	41
Clemson	+1251	7%	13

Spread: Miami −24
Proj. margin: Miami by 24.2

Off by3.8 pts

Final · Oct 3Correct pick

Team	Fair moneyline	Win	Final
Washington	+389	20%	21
USC	−389	80%	25

Spread: USC −14
Proj. margin: USC by 13.8

Off by9.8 pts

Final · Oct 3Correct pick

Team	Fair moneyline	Win	Final
Utah State	+787	11%	18
Boise State	−787	89%	37

Spread: Boise State −20.5
Proj. margin: Boise State by 20.3

Off by1.3 pts

Final · Oct 3Missed

Team	Fair moneyline	Win	Final
Temple	+490	17%	17
South Florida	−490	83%	13

Spread: South Florida −16
Proj. margin: South Florida by 16.0

Off by20.0 pts

Final · Oct 3Missed

Team	Fair moneyline	Win	Final
Army	−131	57%	29
Louisiana Tech	+131	43%	31

Spread: Army −3
Proj. margin: Army by 2.8

Off by4.8 pts

Final · Oct 3Correct pick

Team	Fair moneyline	Win	Final
McNeese	+68729	0%	14
LSU	−68729	100%	63

Spread: LSU −50
Proj. margin: LSU by 49.8

Off by0.8 pts

Final · Oct 3Correct pick

Team	Fair moneyline	Win	Final
Indiana	−7049	99%	47
Rutgers	+7049	1%	15

Spread: Indiana −37
Proj. margin: Indiana by 36.8

Off by4.8 pts

Final · Oct 3Correct pick

Team	Fair moneyline	Win	Final
Arkansas State	+172	37%	20
Louisiana	−172	63%	23

Spread: Louisiana −5.5
Proj. margin: Louisiana by 5.6

Off by2.6 pts

Final · Oct 3Missed

Team	Fair moneyline	Win	Final
Fresno State	+229	30%	26
Washington State	−229	70%	6

Spread: Washington State −8.5
Proj. margin: Washington State by 8.6

Off by28.6 pts

Final · Oct 3Missed

Team	Fair moneyline	Win	Final
Baylor	+125	44%	55
Arizona State	−125	56%	19

Spread: Arizona State −2.5
Proj. margin: Arizona State by 2.4

Off by38.4 pts

Final · Oct 3Correct pick

Team	Fair moneyline	Win	Final
Texas State	+106	49%	29
San Diego State	−106	51%	31

Spread: San Diego State −0.5
Proj. margin: San Diego State by 0.6

Off by1.4 pts

Final · Oct 3Correct pick

Team	Fair moneyline	Win	Final
Cincinnati	+156	39%	7
Arizona	−156	61%	34

Spread: Arizona −4.5
Proj. margin: Arizona by 4.7

Off by22.3 pts

Final · Oct 3Missed

Team	Fair moneyline	Win	Final
San José State	+169	37%	20
Hawai'i	−169	63%	16

Spread: Hawai'i −5.5
Proj. margin: Hawai'i by 5.5

Off by9.5 pts

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