Week 4

2026 · Week 4 · Kickoff times ET

These games are final. See how the model did across the season in the archive.

Final · Sep 24Missed

Team	Fair moneyline	Win	Final
Liberty	+121	45%	34
Coastal Carolina	−121	55%	17

Spread: Coastal Carolina −2
Proj. margin: Coastal Carolina by 2.0

Off by19.0 pts

Final · Sep 25Correct pick

Team	Fair moneyline	Win	Final
Army	−133	57%	21
Temple	+133	43%	17

Spread: Army −3
Proj. margin: Army by 3.0

Off by1.0 pts

Final · Sep 25Correct pick

Team	Fair moneyline	Win	Final
Howard	+2890	3%	7
Rutgers	−2890	97%	58

Spread: Rutgers −30.5
Proj. margin: Rutgers by 30.7

Off by20.3 pts

Final · Sep 25Missed

Team	Fair moneyline	Win	Final
Navy	−303	75%	20
UAB	+303	25%	24

Spread: Navy −11.5
Proj. margin: Navy by 11.4

Off by15.4 pts

Final · Sep 25Correct pick

Team	Fair moneyline	Win	Final
Northwestern	+5399	2%	23
Indiana	−5399	98%	29

Spread: Indiana −35
Proj. margin: Indiana by 35.0

Off by29.0 pts

Final · Sep 25Correct pick

Team	Fair moneyline	Win	Final
Clemson	−135	57%	24
California	+135	43%	10

Spread: Clemson −3
Proj. margin: Clemson by 3.2

Off by10.8 pts

Final · Sep 26Correct pick

Team	Fair moneyline	Win	Final
Texas	−124	55%	20
Tennessee	+124	45%	17

Spread: Texas −2.5
Proj. margin: Texas by 2.3

Off by0.7 pts

Final · Sep 26Correct pick

Team	Fair moneyline	Win	Final
Sam Houston	+10465	1%	14
Texas Tech	−10465	99%	49

Spread: Texas Tech −39.5
Proj. margin: Texas Tech by 39.3

Off by4.3 pts

Final · Sep 26Correct pick

Team	Fair moneyline	Win	Final
Colorado	+596	14%	13
Baylor	−596	86%	23

Spread: Baylor −18
Proj. margin: Baylor by 17.8

Off by7.8 pts

Final · Sep 26Correct pick

Team	Fair moneyline	Win	Final
Bucknell	+99900	0%	0
Pittsburgh	−99900	100%	59

Spread: Pittsburgh −58.5
Proj. margin: Pittsburgh by 58.4

Off by0.6 pts

Final · Sep 26Correct pick

Team	Fair moneyline	Win	Final
Virginia Tech	−280	74%	21
Boston College	+280	26%	14

Spread: Virginia Tech −10.5
Proj. margin: Virginia Tech by 10.6

Off by3.6 pts

Final · Sep 26Missed

Team	Fair moneyline	Win	Final
Wake Forest	+290	26%	30
Louisville	−290	74%	27

Spread: Louisville −11
Proj. margin: Louisville by 10.9

Off by13.9 pts

Final · Sep 26Correct pick

Team	Fair moneyline	Win	Final
Illinois	+637	14%	19
Ohio State	−637	86%	42

Spread: Ohio State −18.5
Proj. margin: Ohio State by 18.4

Off by4.6 pts

Final · Sep 26Correct pick

Team	Fair moneyline	Win	Final
San Diego State	+236	30%	16
Toledo	−236	70%	41

Spread: Toledo −9
Proj. margin: Toledo by 8.9

Off by16.1 pts

Final · Sep 26Correct pick

Team	Fair moneyline	Win	Final
Colorado State	+557	15%	45
UTSA	−557	85%	59

Spread: UTSA −17
Proj. margin: UTSA by 17.2

Off by3.2 pts

Final · Sep 26Correct pick

Team	Fair moneyline	Win	Final
UNLV	−382	79%	38
Akron	+382	21%	10

Spread: UNLV −13.5
Proj. margin: UNLV by 13.6

Off by14.4 pts

Final · Sep 26Correct pick

Team	Fair moneyline	Win	Final
Ball State	+133	43%	13
Kent State	−133	57%	26

Spread: Kent State −3
Proj. margin: Kent State by 3.0

Off by10.0 pts

Final · Sep 26Correct pick

Team	Fair moneyline	Win	Final
South Alabama	+949	10%	21
Kentucky	−949	90%	45

Spread: Kentucky −22
Proj. margin: Kentucky by 21.9

Off by2.1 pts

Final · Sep 26Correct pick

Team	Fair moneyline	Win	Final
Lindenwood	+269	27%	3
Eastern Michigan	−269	73%	29

Spread: Eastern Michigan −10
Proj. margin: Eastern Michigan by 10.2

Off by15.8 pts

Final · Sep 26Missed

Team	Fair moneyline	Win	Final
UCLA	+102	49%	54
Maryland	−102	51%	3

Spread: Pick'em
Proj. margin: Maryland by 0.2

Off by51.2 pts

Final · Sep 26Correct pick

Team	Fair moneyline	Win	Final
Notre Dame	−4286	98%	49
Purdue	+4286	2%	10

Spread: Notre Dame −33.5
Proj. margin: Notre Dame by 33.5

Off by5.5 pts

Final · Sep 26Correct pick

Team	Fair moneyline	Win	Final
Northern Illinois	+215	32%	14
Georgia State	−215	68%	35

Spread: Georgia State −8
Proj. margin: Georgia State by 7.9

Off by13.1 pts

Final · Sep 26Correct pick

Team	Fair moneyline	Win	Final
Central Arkansas	+15843	1%	7
Florida State	−15843	99%	34

Spread: Florida State −42
Proj. margin: Florida State by 41.8

Off by14.8 pts

Final · Sep 26Missed

Team	Fair moneyline	Win	Final
Hawai'i	−178	64%	10
Wyoming	+178	36%	27

Spread: Hawai'i −6
Proj. margin: Hawai'i by 6.0

Off by23.0 pts

Final · Sep 26Correct pick

Team	Fair moneyline	Win	Final
Ole Miss	+122	45%	28
Florida	−122	55%	52

Spread: Florida −2
Proj. margin: Florida by 2.1

Off by21.9 pts

Final · Sep 26Correct pick

Team	Fair moneyline	Win	Final
Oklahoma	+280	26%	13
Georgia	−280	74%	41

Spread: Georgia −10.5
Proj. margin: Georgia by 10.6

Off by17.4 pts

Final · Sep 26Missed

Team	Fair moneyline	Win	Final
TCU	−115	54%	13
UCF	+115	46%	21

Spread: TCU −1.5
Proj. margin: TCU by 1.5

Off by9.5 pts

Final · Sep 26Correct pick

Team	Fair moneyline	Win	Final
Utah	−370	79%	31
Iowa State	+370	21%	17

Spread: Utah −13.5
Proj. margin: Utah by 13.3

Off by0.7 pts

Final · Sep 26Correct pick

Team	Fair moneyline	Win	Final
William & Mary	+20833	0%	7
Duke	−20833	100%	62

Spread: Duke −43.5
Proj. margin: Duke by 43.4

Off by11.6 pts

Final · Sep 26Missed

Team	Fair moneyline	Win	Final
Iowa	+122	45%	20
Michigan	−122	55%	19

Spread: Michigan −2
Proj. margin: Michigan by 2.1

Off by3.1 pts

Final · Sep 26Correct pick

Team	Fair moneyline	Win	Final
Boise State	−167	62%	32
Western Michigan	+167	38%	7

Spread: Boise State −5.5
Proj. margin: Boise State by 5.3

Off by19.7 pts

Final · Sep 26Missed

Team	Fair moneyline	Win	Final
UConn	−151	60%	21
Miami (OH)	+151	40%	24

Spread: UConn −4.5
Proj. margin: UConn by 4.3

Off by7.3 pts

Final · Sep 26Correct pick

Team	Fair moneyline	Win	Final
New Mexico	−354	78%	42
New Mexico State	+354	22%	18

Spread: New Mexico −13
Proj. margin: New Mexico by 12.9

Off by11.1 pts

Final · Sep 26Correct pick

Team	Fair moneyline	Win	Final
Robert Morris	+2329	4%	28
Buffalo	−2329	96%	31

Spread: Buffalo −29
Proj. margin: Buffalo by 29.1

Off by26.1 pts

Final · Sep 26Correct pick

Team	Fair moneyline	Win	Final
Stonehill	+6515	2%	7
Ohio	−6515	98%	35

Spread: Ohio −36.5
Proj. margin: Ohio by 36.3

Off by8.3 pts

Final · Sep 26Correct pick

Team	Fair moneyline	Win	Final
Gardner-Webb	+398	20%	35
Marshall	−398	80%	36

Spread: Marshall −14
Proj. margin: Marshall by 14.0

Off by13.0 pts

Final · Sep 26Correct pick

Team	Fair moneyline	Win	Final
Houston	−690	87%	42
Georgia Southern	+690	13%	28

Spread: Houston −19
Proj. margin: Houston by 19.1

Off by5.1 pts

Final · Sep 26Correct pick

Team	Fair moneyline	Win	Final
North Carolina Central	+23066	0%	9
East Carolina	−23066	100%	42

Spread: East Carolina −44
Proj. margin: East Carolina by 44.0

Off by11.0 pts

Final · Sep 26Toss-up

Team	Fair moneyline	Win	Final
Vanderbilt	+101	50%	15
Auburn	−101	50%	21

Spread: Pick'em
Proj. margin: Auburn by 0.2

Off by5.8 pts

Final · Sep 26Correct pick

Team	Fair moneyline	Win	Final
Nebraska	−173	63%	31
Michigan State	+173	37%	13

Spread: Nebraska −5.5
Proj. margin: Nebraska by 5.7

Off by12.3 pts

Final · Sep 26Missed

Team	Fair moneyline	Win	Final
Wisconsin	+554	15%	24
Penn State	−554	85%	20

Spread: Penn State −17
Proj. margin: Penn State by 17.1

Off by21.1 pts

Final · Sep 26Correct pick

Team	Fair moneyline	Win	Final
South Florida	−2904	97%	14
Bowling Green	+2904	3%	6

Spread: South Florida −30.5
Proj. margin: South Florida by 30.7

Off by22.7 pts

Final · Sep 26Correct pick

Team	Fair moneyline	Win	Final
Delaware	+989	9%	3
Virginia	−989	91%	42

Spread: Virginia −22.5
Proj. margin: Virginia by 22.3

Off by16.7 pts

Final · Sep 26Correct pick

Team	Fair moneyline	Win	Final
Incarnate Word	+1668	6%	10
Texas State	−1668	94%	63

Spread: Texas State −26.5
Proj. margin: Texas State by 26.5

Off by26.5 pts

Final · Sep 26Correct pick

Team	Fair moneyline	Win	Final
Long Island University	+7699	1%	3
Florida International	−7699	99%	20

Spread: Florida International −37.5
Proj. margin: Florida International by 37.3

Off by20.3 pts

Final · Sep 26Correct pick

Team	Fair moneyline	Win	Final
James Madison	−242	71%	46
Old Dominion	+242	29%	20

Spread: James Madison −9
Proj. margin: James Madison by 9.1

Off by16.9 pts

Final · Sep 26Correct pick

Team	Fair moneyline	Win	Final
Central Michigan	+38375	0%	3
Miami	−38375	100%	52

Spread: Miami −47
Proj. margin: Miami by 46.8

Off by2.2 pts

Final · Sep 26Correct pick

Team	Fair moneyline	Win	Final
Louisiana	−232	70%	34
Charlotte	+232	30%	7

Spread: Louisiana −8.5
Proj. margin: Louisiana by 8.7

Off by18.3 pts

Final · Sep 26Correct pick

Team	Fair moneyline	Win	Final
South Carolina	+1354	7%	18
Alabama	−1354	93%	49

Spread: Alabama −25
Proj. margin: Alabama by 24.9

Off by6.1 pts

Final · Sep 26Missed

Team	Fair moneyline	Win	Final
Kansas State	−156	61%	26
Cincinnati	+156	39%	31

Spread: Kansas State −4.5
Proj. margin: Kansas State by 4.6

Off by9.6 pts

Final · Sep 26Missed

Team	Fair moneyline	Win	Final
Oklahoma State	+177	36%	41
West Virginia	−177	64%	24

Spread: West Virginia −6
Proj. margin: West Virginia by 6.0

Off by23.0 pts

Final · Sep 26Correct pick

Team	Fair moneyline	Win	Final
Southern Miss	+771	11%	21
Tulane	−771	89%	24

Spread: Tulane −20
Proj. margin: Tulane by 20.1

Off by17.1 pts

Final · Sep 26Correct pick

Team	Fair moneyline	Win	Final
Kennesaw State	+118	46%	14
Arkansas State	−118	54%	17

Spread: Arkansas State −1.5
Proj. margin: Arkansas State by 1.7

Off by1.3 pts

Final · Sep 26Correct pick

Team	Fair moneyline	Win	Final
Mercyhurst	+9664	1%	7
Western Kentucky	−9664	99%	52

Spread: Western Kentucky −39
Proj. margin: Western Kentucky by 38.8

Off by6.2 pts

Final · Sep 26Correct pick

Team	Fair moneyline	Win	Final
Middle Tennessee	+290	26%	13
Jacksonville State	−290	74%	23

Spread: Jacksonville State −11
Proj. margin: Jacksonville State by 10.9

Off by0.9 pts

Final · Sep 26Missed

Team	Fair moneyline	Win	Final
Texas A&M	−118	54%	6
LSU	+118	46%	35

Spread: Texas A&M −1.5
Proj. margin: Texas A&M by 1.7

Off by30.7 pts

Final · Sep 26Correct pick

Team	Fair moneyline	Win	Final
Arizona	−197	66%	34
Washington State	+197	34%	24

Spread: Arizona −7
Proj. margin: Arizona by 7.0

Off by3.0 pts

Final · Sep 26Missed

Team	Fair moneyline	Win	Final
Oregon	+119	46%	41
USC	−119	54%	27

Spread: USC −2
Proj. margin: USC by 1.8

Off by15.8 pts

Final · Sep 26Correct pick

Team	Fair moneyline	Win	Final
Troy	+263	28%	10
Utah State	−263	72%	21

Spread: Utah State −10
Proj. margin: Utah State by 10.0

Off by1.0 pts

Final · Sep 26Correct pick

Team	Fair moneyline	Win	Final
Houston Christian	+56707	0%	14
North Texas	−56707	100%	63

Spread: North Texas −49
Proj. margin: North Texas by 48.8

Off by0.2 pts

Final · Sep 26Correct pick

Team	Fair moneyline	Win	Final
App State	+685	13%	31
NC State	−685	87%	41

Spread: NC State −19
Proj. margin: NC State by 19.1

Off by9.1 pts

Final · Sep 26Correct pick

Team	Fair moneyline	Win	Final
Missouri	+143	41%	24
Mississippi State	−143	59%	31

Spread: Mississippi State −4
Proj. margin: Mississippi State by 3.8

Off by3.2 pts

Final · Sep 26Correct pick

Team	Fair moneyline	Win	Final
Tulsa	+163	38%	6
Arkansas	−163	62%	34

Spread: Arkansas −5
Proj. margin: Arkansas by 5.1

Off by22.9 pts

Final · Sep 26Correct pick

Team	Fair moneyline	Win	Final
Florida Atlantic	−412	80%	45
UL Monroe	+412	20%	17

Spread: Florida Atlantic −14.5
Proj. margin: Florida Atlantic by 14.4

Off by13.6 pts

Final · Sep 26Correct pick

Team	Fair moneyline	Win	Final
Missouri State	+1559	6%	24
SMU	−1559	94%	34

Spread: SMU −26
Proj. margin: SMU by 26.0

Off by16.0 pts

Final · Sep 26Correct pick

Team	Fair moneyline	Win	Final
Oregon State	−506	83%	33
UTEP	+506	17%	7

Spread: Oregon State −16.5
Proj. margin: Oregon State by 16.3

Off by9.7 pts

Final · Sep 26Missed

Team	Fair moneyline	Win	Final
Massachusetts	+154	39%	35
Sacramento State	−154	61%	6

Spread: Sacramento State −4.5
Proj. margin: Sacramento State by 4.5

Off by33.5 pts

Final · Sep 26Correct pick

Team	Fair moneyline	Win	Final
Rice	+736	12%	24
Fresno State	−736	88%	38

Spread: Fresno State −19.5
Proj. margin: Fresno State by 19.7

Off by5.7 pts

Final · Sep 26Missed

Team	Fair moneyline	Win	Final
Georgia Tech	−163	62%	27
Stanford	+163	38%	34

Spread: Georgia Tech −5
Proj. margin: Georgia Tech by 5.1

Off by12.1 pts

Final · Sep 26Correct pick

Team	Fair moneyline	Win	Final
Air Force	−145	59%	36
Nevada	+145	41%	33

Spread: Air Force −4
Proj. margin: Air Force by 3.9

Off by0.9 pts

Final · Sep 26Missed

Team	Fair moneyline	Win	Final
Minnesota	+836	11%	27
Washington	−836	89%	24

Spread: Washington −21
Proj. margin: Washington by 20.8

Off by23.8 pts

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