Week 6

2026 · Week 6 · Kickoff times ET

These games are final. See how the model did across the season in the archive.

Final · Oct 6Correct pick

Team	Fair moneyline	Win	Final
Southern Miss	+171	37%	34
Troy	−171	63%	55

Spread: Troy −5.5
Proj. margin: Troy by 5.6

Off by15.4 pts

Final · Oct 7Missed

Team	Fair moneyline	Win	Final
Jacksonville State	+111	47%	27
Kennesaw State	−111	53%	26

Spread: Kennesaw State −1
Proj. margin: Kennesaw State by 1.1

Off by2.1 pts

Final · Oct 7Correct pick

Team	Fair moneyline	Win	Final
New Mexico State	+139	42%	3
Florida International	−139	58%	22

Spread: Florida International −3.5
Proj. margin: Florida International by 3.5

Off by15.5 pts

Final · Oct 8Correct pick

Team	Fair moneyline	Win	Final
Sam Houston	+280	26%	3
Liberty	−280	74%	35

Spread: Liberty −10.5
Proj. margin: Liberty by 10.6

Off by21.4 pts

Final · Oct 8Correct pick

Team	Fair moneyline	Win	Final
Missouri State	+172	37%	13
Western Kentucky	−172	63%	34

Spread: Western Kentucky −5.5
Proj. margin: Western Kentucky by 5.6

Off by15.4 pts

Final · Oct 8Correct pick

Team	Fair moneyline	Win	Final
South Florida	+104	49%	24
UTSA	−104	51%	31

Spread: UTSA −0.5
Proj. margin: UTSA by 0.4

Off by6.6 pts

Final · Oct 8Missed

Team	Fair moneyline	Win	Final
South Alabama	+132	43%	56
Arkansas State	−132	57%	49

Spread: Arkansas State −3
Proj. margin: Arkansas State by 2.9

Off by9.9 pts

Final · Oct 9Toss-up

Team	Fair moneyline	Win	Final
Florida State	+101	50%	20
Louisville	−101	50%	44

Spread: Pick'em
Proj. margin: Louisville by 0.1

Off by23.9 pts

Final · Oct 9Correct pick

Team	Fair moneyline	Win	Final
Iowa	−131	57%	41
Washington	+131	43%	24

Spread: Iowa −3
Proj. margin: Iowa by 2.8

Off by14.2 pts

Final · Oct 9Correct pick

Team	Fair moneyline	Win	Final
Washington State	+105	49%	16
Utah State	−105	51%	17

Spread: Utah State −0.5
Proj. margin: Utah State by 0.5

Off by0.5 pts

Final · Oct 9Missed

Team	Fair moneyline	Win	Final
Wyoming	+207	33%	16
San José State	−207	67%	13

Spread: San José State −7.5
Proj. margin: San José State by 7.5

Off by10.5 pts

Final · Oct 9Correct pick

Team	Fair moneyline	Win	Final
Iowa State	+296	25%	10
BYU	−296	75%	24

Spread: BYU −11
Proj. margin: BYU by 11.1

Off by2.9 pts

Final · Oct 10Correct pick

Team	Fair moneyline	Win	Final
Texas A&M	+127	44%	6
Missouri	−127	56%	27

Spread: Missouri −2.5
Proj. margin: Missouri by 2.5

Off by18.5 pts

Final · Oct 10Correct pick

Team	Fair moneyline	Win	Final
Arizona	−284	74%	52
West Virginia	+284	26%	31

Spread: Arizona −10.5
Proj. margin: Arizona by 10.7

Off by10.3 pts

Final · Oct 10Missed

Team	Fair moneyline	Win	Final
UCF	−112	53%	28
Oklahoma State	+112	47%	42

Spread: UCF −1
Proj. margin: UCF by 1.2

Off by15.2 pts

Final · Oct 10Missed

Team	Fair moneyline	Win	Final
North Carolina	+344	23%	21
Pittsburgh	−344	77%	17

Spread: Pittsburgh −12.5
Proj. margin: Pittsburgh by 12.6

Off by16.6 pts

Final · Oct 10Missed

Team	Fair moneyline	Win	Final
Wake Forest	+102	49%	38
NC State	−102	51%	14

Spread: Pick'em
Proj. margin: NC State by 0.2

Off by24.2 pts

Final · Oct 10Correct pick

Team	Fair moneyline	Win	Final
Indiana	−527	84%	20
Nebraska	+527	16%	17

Spread: Indiana −16.5
Proj. margin: Indiana by 16.7

Off by13.7 pts

Final · Oct 10Correct pick

Team	Fair moneyline	Win	Final
Tulane	+165	38%	17
Army	−165	62%	20

Spread: Army −5.5
Proj. margin: Army by 5.3

Off by2.3 pts

Final · Oct 10Correct pick

Team	Fair moneyline	Win	Final
Sacramento State	+285	26%	10
Bowling Green	−285	74%	38

Spread: Bowling Green −11
Proj. margin: Bowling Green by 10.8

Off by17.2 pts

Final · Oct 10Correct pick

Team	Fair moneyline	Win	Final
Ball State	+13493	1%	14
Northwestern	−13493	99%	45

Spread: Northwestern −41
Proj. margin: Northwestern by 40.8

Off by9.8 pts

Final · Oct 10Missed

Team	Fair moneyline	Win	Final
South Carolina	+452	18%	38
Florida	−452	82%	19

Spread: Florida −15
Proj. margin: Florida by 15.2

Off by34.2 pts

Final · Oct 10Correct pick

Team	Fair moneyline	Win	Final
Rice	+658	13%	12
East Carolina	−658	87%	28

Spread: East Carolina −18.5
Proj. margin: East Carolina by 18.7

Off by2.7 pts

Final · Oct 10Missed

Team	Fair moneyline	Win	Final
Old Dominion	+163	38%	10
App State	−163	62%	3

Spread: App State −5
Proj. margin: App State by 5.1

Off by12.1 pts

Final · Oct 10Correct pick

Team	Fair moneyline	Win	Final
Miami (OH)	−276	73%	20
Massachusetts	+276	27%	19

Spread: Miami (OH) −10.5
Proj. margin: Miami (OH) by 10.5

Off by9.5 pts

Final · Oct 10Missed

Team	Fair moneyline	Win	Final
Texas	−164	62%	24
Oklahoma	+164	38%	27

Spread: Texas −5
Proj. margin: Texas by 5.2

Off by8.2 pts

Final · Oct 10Toss-up

Team	Fair moneyline	Win	Final
Ole Miss	−102	50%	52
Vanderbilt	+102	50%	17

Spread: Pick'em
Proj. margin: Ole Miss by 0.2

Off by34.8 pts

Final · Oct 10Missed

Team	Fair moneyline	Win	Final
Houston	+134	43%	35
Kansas State	−134	57%	16

Spread: Kansas State −3
Proj. margin: Kansas State by 3.1

Off by22.1 pts

Final · Oct 10Missed

Team	Fair moneyline	Win	Final
Duke	−173	63%	25
Georgia Tech	+173	37%	28

Spread: Duke −5.5
Proj. margin: Duke by 5.7

Off by8.7 pts

Final · Oct 10Correct pick

Team	Fair moneyline	Win	Final
Stanford	+44003	0%	7
Notre Dame	−44003	100%	58

Spread: Notre Dame −47.5
Proj. margin: Notre Dame by 47.5

Off by3.5 pts

Final · Oct 10Missed

Team	Fair moneyline	Win	Final
Virginia Tech	−130	57%	20
California	+130	43%	25

Spread: Virginia Tech −3
Proj. margin: Virginia Tech by 2.8

Off by7.8 pts

Final · Oct 10Correct pick

Team	Fair moneyline	Win	Final
Illinois	−136	58%	38
Michigan State	+136	42%	37

Spread: Illinois −3
Proj. margin: Illinois by 3.2

Off by2.2 pts

Final · Oct 10Missed

Team	Fair moneyline	Win	Final
UCLA	+684	13%	17
Oregon	−684	87%	15

Spread: Oregon −19
Proj. margin: Oregon by 19.0

Off by21.0 pts

Final · Oct 10Correct pick

Team	Fair moneyline	Win	Final
Charlotte	+7630	1%	10
North Texas	−7630	99%	50

Spread: North Texas −37.5
Proj. margin: North Texas by 37.3

Off by2.7 pts

Final · Oct 10Correct pick

Team	Fair moneyline	Win	Final
Tulsa	+160	38%	26
Navy	−160	62%	34

Spread: Navy −5
Proj. margin: Navy by 4.9

Off by3.1 pts

Final · Oct 10Toss-up

Team	Fair moneyline	Win	Final
Eastern Michigan	EVEN	50%	25
Akron	EVEN	50%	23

Spread: Pick'em
Proj. margin: Even

Off by2.0 pts

Final · Oct 10Missed

Team	Fair moneyline	Win	Final
Buffalo	+1987	5%	23
Toledo	−1987	95%	8

Spread: Toledo −28
Proj. margin: Toledo by 27.9

Off by42.9 pts

Final · Oct 10Correct pick

Team	Fair moneyline	Win	Final
Central Michigan	+153	40%	14
Ohio	−153	60%	31

Spread: Ohio −4.5
Proj. margin: Ohio by 4.4

Off by12.6 pts

Final · Oct 10Correct pick

Team	Fair moneyline	Win	Final
Kent State	+1077	8%	7
Western Michigan	−1077	92%	38

Spread: Western Michigan −23
Proj. margin: Western Michigan by 23.0

Off by8.0 pts

Final · Oct 10Missed

Team	Fair moneyline	Win	Final
UConn	+119	46%	34
Temple	−119	54%	20

Spread: Temple −2
Proj. margin: Temple by 1.8

Off by15.8 pts

Final · Oct 10Correct pick

Team	Fair moneyline	Win	Final
Tennessee	−501	83%	24
Arkansas	+501	17%	17

Spread: Tennessee −16
Proj. margin: Tennessee by 16.2

Off by9.2 pts

Final · Oct 10Correct pick

Team	Fair moneyline	Win	Final
Maryland	+11317	1%	16
Ohio State	−11317	99%	45

Spread: Ohio State −40
Proj. margin: Ohio State by 39.8

Off by10.8 pts

Final · Oct 10Correct pick

Team	Fair moneyline	Win	Final
San Diego State	+343	23%	14
Oregon State	−343	77%	66

Spread: Oregon State −12.5
Proj. margin: Oregon State by 12.6

Off by39.4 pts

Final · Oct 10Missed

Team	Fair moneyline	Win	Final
LSU	−124	55%	34
Kentucky	+124	45%	35

Spread: LSU −2
Proj. margin: LSU by 2.2

Off by3.2 pts

Final · Oct 10Correct pick

Team	Fair moneyline	Win	Final
UAB	+1054	9%	13
Memphis	−1054	91%	38

Spread: Memphis −23
Proj. margin: Memphis by 22.8

Off by2.2 pts

Final · Oct 10Correct pick

Team	Fair moneyline	Win	Final
Nevada	−262	72%	30
UTEP	+262	28%	13

Spread: Nevada −10
Proj. margin: Nevada by 10.0

Off by7.0 pts

Final · Oct 10Missed

Team	Fair moneyline	Win	Final
North Dakota State	−170	63%	7
UNLV	+170	37%	13

Spread: North Dakota State −5.5
Proj. margin: North Dakota State by 5.5

Off by11.5 pts

Final · Oct 10Missed

Team	Fair moneyline	Win	Final
Coastal Carolina	+164	38%	27
Marshall	−164	62%	21

Spread: Marshall −5
Proj. margin: Marshall by 5.2

Off by11.2 pts

Final · Oct 10Missed

Team	Fair moneyline	Win	Final
Georgia	+181	36%	20
Alabama	−181	64%	17

Spread: Alabama −6
Proj. margin: Alabama by 6.2

Off by9.2 pts

Final · Oct 10Correct pick

Team	Fair moneyline	Win	Final
Syracuse	+504	17%	25
Virginia	−504	83%	28

Spread: Virginia −16.5
Proj. margin: Virginia by 16.3

Off by13.3 pts

Final · Oct 10Correct pick

Team	Fair moneyline	Win	Final
USC	−135	57%	31
Penn State	+135	43%	23

Spread: USC −3
Proj. margin: USC by 3.2

Off by4.8 pts

Final · Oct 10Correct pick

Team	Fair moneyline	Win	Final
Air Force	−358	78%	28
Northern Illinois	+358	22%	7

Spread: Air Force −13
Proj. margin: Air Force by 13.0

Off by8.0 pts

Final · Oct 10Correct pick

Team	Fair moneyline	Win	Final
James Madison	−415	81%	27
Georgia Southern	+415	19%	24

Spread: James Madison −14.5
Proj. margin: James Madison by 14.4

Off by11.4 pts

Final · Oct 10Correct pick

Team	Fair moneyline	Win	Final
Louisiana	+230	30%	31
Louisiana Tech	−230	70%	32

Spread: Louisiana Tech −8.5
Proj. margin: Louisiana Tech by 8.6

Off by7.6 pts

Final · Oct 10Correct pick

Team	Fair moneyline	Win	Final
Kansas	+1237	7%	24
Utah	−1237	93%	41

Spread: Utah −24
Proj. margin: Utah by 24.1

Off by7.1 pts

Final · Oct 10Correct pick

Team	Fair moneyline	Win	Final
Minnesota	+113	47%	13
Purdue	−113	53%	41

Spread: Purdue −1.5
Proj. margin: Purdue by 1.3

Off by26.7 pts

Final · Oct 10Correct pick

Team	Fair moneyline	Win	Final
Hawai'i	+860	10%	12
Arizona State	−860	90%	30

Spread: Arizona State −21
Proj. margin: Arizona State by 21.1

Off by3.1 pts

Final · Oct 10Correct pick

Team	Fair moneyline	Win	Final
Boise State	−273	73%	38
Fresno State	+273	27%	31

Spread: Boise State −10.5
Proj. margin: Boise State by 10.4

Off by3.4 pts

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